East Africa: From Red Sea to Sudan – Why Ethiopia’s Instability Risks Destabilizing Horn of Africa

Addis Abeba — The guns may not yet have returned to the scale seen during Ethiopia’s devastating 2020-2022 war, but the warning signs are becoming impossible to ignore. Tigray is once again caught in a dangerous political and military confrontation, while the unresolved issues left behind by the Pretoria peace agreement continue to deepen.

Recent clashes and reports of military mobilisation in and around Tigray have revived fears of a return to full-scale war. The danger is not confined to…