Djibouti At a Crossroads – the Presidential Transition Crisis Ahead of April 2026 Elections

Key Takeaways

• Djibouti is showing signs of a deepening political crisis, as President Ismail Omar Guelleh considers amending the constitution to pursue a sixth term. This move coincides with growing internal divisions among the ruling elite over his potential successor.

• Rising tensions and conflict among Djibouti’s political and tribal elites could undermine the governance system and weaken state institutions, with repercussions for regional stability and the interests of influential regional…